practise a policy of always tougher sanctions

The first decade of our new century ends. The geopolitical events and the most remarkable developments in the year 2010 Will it be the year of "the new Iranian revolution" The year of the "real return" of America who have passed successfully the challenge posed by the reform of the health care system, can finally to project themselves into the world with confidence and determination The year of entry into a world become fully multipolar and where emerging powers behind China finally agree to take all the responsibilities now The year where will Europe learn to harmonize its polished ticks with the institutions which it has now, in particular its new diplomatic instruments

From 2001 to 2007, the fall of the towers of Manhattan at the first signs of what would become the most important financial and economic crisis since the 1930s, there was a divorce between economic developments and fragile ticks. Geopolitics specialists appeared and the Cassandras and pessimism, justified, contrast with the perhaps excessive optimism of fellow economists. From 2007 to 2009, by stages, the concerns of economists have joined and exceeded even during brief moments the pessimistic forecasts of the geopolitics. In 2010, will we not find a classic divorce between fundamentally optimistic economists - "the worst is behind us" - and fundamentally pessimistic experts in geopolitics - "the worst is ahead of us" In 2008 - 2009, the worst clearly was avoided at least financially. During this same period, the progress made on the fragile tick plan were not marginal to the observed worsening of Pakistan to the Afghanistan of climate change become security problem to the hardening of the Russia, if not China...

The Iranian crisis at the beginning of the year 2010 appears as mature, to say that it is ready to enter into a new and unpredictable phase. Is there not as the beginning of a creeping civil war between two camps that bring together their strengths The weakening of the regime inside, which is undeniable since the forfeiture of the June 2009 elections, if accom loincloth of its hardening on the outside, which is characterized by a more irrational the system behaviour in place. We are no longer in the finasseries of the diplomacy of the Bazaar, but with the unpredictability of a scheme to beleaguered. Faced with this situation, what should be the behavior of the international community Must wait with patience that the regime collapses himself, convinced that he did more for very long There are fascist tendencies in the current Iranian regime, with however a major difference with the Italy of Mussolini. This is not the outside world which humiliates the majority of Iranians, the regime that dominates with its increasingly intolerable mixture of vulgarity and brutality. The "international community" must conversely getting tough, practise a policy of always tougher sanctions, saying to the Iranian people - and it is difficult - that the sanctions are the regime and not themselves, that we are behind them and that their suffering is ours A speech may be impossible to hold in these words, given the State of relations between the West and Islam, and a speech which is on the bottom or the form preferred policies today by the Russians and Chinese.

In reality America of the après-réforme of the health care system, the Europe of the case, the China of the après-Copenhague, not to mention the India and the Russia, are all facing the Iranian challenge. How strengthen the opposition, weaken the regime and away from the calendar of a nuclear Iran... and all this avoiding outright use of military force, an intervention which can re-consolidate the population behind the regime In short, the quadrature of the circle, but also the first test of a multipolar world to invent new rules of the game to deal with the Iranian challenge.